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Tennessee (+6) at CINCINNATI

By Chris Jordan, Featured Handicapper

South Alabama couldn't help me out last night, stalling in the fourth quarter.

Let's bounce back with East Carolina and Tulsa in American Athletic Conference play. A win could help the Pirates get back into the conference race, while the Hurricane looks to stay undefeated in league action.

Let's make some money tonight with my AAC Game of the Month.

Winning Day # 72 of 133

American Athletic
Game of the Month

East Carolina - Tulsa


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My free winner for Sunday is on the Tennessee Titans, laying the number to the Cincinnati Bengals.

As much as I'm a big believer in Cincinnati quarterback Joe Burrow, it's becoming awfully difficult to pick the Bengals, especially against a contender.

If Burrow was getting better protection, I might consider this as a home underdog. The Titans don't apply a lot of pressure, nor are they blitzing at an alarmingly high rate, but based on how well they're getting to the quarterback I think the rookie is in for a long day. Tennessee ranks third in the league with 27 quarterback knockdowns and an 11.3% rate on quarterback knockdowns per dropback. 

Look, I'm well aware the Bengals are 5-2 against the spread on the season, but this week their defense is going to struggle against Tennessee's highly efficient offense. The Titans, who rank third in offensive efficiency, have converted 80 percent of its red-zone visits into touchdowns.

That won't bode well for the Bengals, who have the seventh-worst red-zone defense, allowing opponents to score on 72% of their trips inside the 20. The combination of Tennessee's Ryan Tannehill and Derrick Henry will undoubtedly pose a problem.

Tannehill just passed for 220 yards and 2 touchdowns vs. 0 interceptions for a 104.9 rating last week, his 10th game with 2 or more TD passes & 0 interceptions since 2019 - tied for second-most in the NFL. Henry, meanwhile, aims for his third straight vs. an AFC North foe with 75 or more yards rushing and a rushing touchdown. Henry leads the NFL with 663 yards rushing and is tied for the lead with 7 rushing touchdowns.

Nothing here looks good for the Bengals. Lay the road points.


Las Vegas (+2') at CLEVELAND

By Jack Brayman, Featured Handicapper

Each week, at some point early on, I deliver a free NFL winner.

We're down to football only until basketball starts, and I'm zoned in with the NFL and College Football at this point.

The Carolina Panthers stalled at the end and couldn't finish that last drive. I was holding out hope, but the Atlanta Falcons were the better team.

Tonight I bounce back in Mountain West play, as Hawai'i visits Wyoming.

Let's bounce back tonight, as we basically are staring at a pick'em game.

40 Dime
Mountain West
Game of the Month

Hawai'i - Wyoming

24-17 run with NFL 40 Dime Releases
including my Super Bowl Winner on the Chiefs -
 and tonight's College Football is JUST AS STRONG

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My free NFL winner for Sunday is the Las Vegas Raiders plus the points against the Cleveland Browns.

Something about this Raiders' resiliency, and the fact the last time they went on the road they dominated the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs with a stifling defense in the secon half, has me thinking the Cleveland Browns are in trouble.

There's a good reason the sharps took the half point off the original 3-point spread and it's now sitting at 2', and it's because Las Vegas is better than its 3-3 record and the Browns aren’t as good as their 5-2 mark.

In case you didn't know, the Raiders have played the toughest schedule thus far, based on their opponents and how they were playing at the time of the games. The combined DVOA of Las Vegas’ first six opponents is the best in the league for anybody’s slate.

And from this point forward, the Raiders have a schedule that could translate into a winning season and berth into the extended playoff format. With 10 games left, they need to win seven of those conceivably. I think they can win eight.

It starts with the Browns, who - and I can't believe this - have a -21 point differential. What team is three games above .500 and has been outscored by three touchdowns? Now they play the Raiders' defense that was in the game with Tampa Bay late last week, and allowed garbage-time touchdowns. Don't be fooled by the final. Cleveland won't have as easy a time. And make note, Johnathan Abram will be back this week after missing the Tampa Bay game last week as a "high risk" contact.

On other side of the ball, quarterback Derek Carr will undoubtedly be able to move the ball against Cleveland's stop unit, as the offensive line has been back in action this week in practice. That was a glaring problem last week, when the linemen missed all week due to a positive test to Trent Brown. They were cleared on gameday, but with no preparation.

Carr has faced the Browns three times in his career and has topped 300 yards passing in all of them. Cleveland is the only team Carr has thrown for 300 or more yards against at least three times. And when you factor in his 133.6 rating vs. the blitz ranks second best among qualifiers, trailing only Justin Herbert's 137.4.

And remember, teams like the Bengals (twice), Football Team, Cowboys and Colts have scored at least 20 points against Cleveland.

Las Vegas is going to dominate the Browns, just as we saw Baltimore and Pittsburgh do so against them.