How easy was Xavier?
Winner # 31 of 45
Xavier (-17) crushes Colorado 96-69
- You got it for Over Half Price Off -
2nd Ever 150 Dimer in College Hoops since
my initial site debut in February 2013
Matches last Saturday's 150 Dimer on
Clemson (-12) over Miami 38-3 in the ACC title game
- that you also got for Over Half Off -
roll with ALL plays
rated 100 Dimes or Higher in ALL sports
Here's what I told you.....
It's been the theme for Xavier's season so far.
Wisconsin beat the Musketeers in the Dance two years ago.
The X-men got payback in an 80-70 win.
Baylor and Cincinnati beat them last season.
The X-men returned the favor with two home wins, beating the Bears 76-63 and Bearcats 89-76.
3 revenge games.
3 double-digit paybacks.
Now it's Colorado's turn.
Last year's in Boulder Xavier blew a 9-point, 2nd-half lead when Colorado went on a 15-0 run to claim a 68-66 win as a +1 1/2 dog.
But this is not the same Buffs team. Two of the three guys that keyed that late surge, Xavier Johnson and Derrick White - who combined for 41 of Colorado's 68 points in that game - are no longer around.
Colorado might be 7-1, but it's a soft 7-1 with the wins coming at home against the likes of Northern Colorado, Denver, Quinnipiac, Drake, Mercer, Air Force and New Mexico. In the Buffs only road game they lost 72-63 at Colorado State.
Xavier has lost one game. It was against undefeated Arizona State. No shame there.
Like the way the Musketeers didn't get caught flat after beating Cincinnati - or get caught looking ahead to this revenge game - when they crushed Kent, 96-70, at the Cintas Center on Wednesday.
Xavier averages 89.8 points (13th best in the nation) on 53.9% shooting. The Musketeers have covered 7 straight at home and 15 of their last 17 overall. They're also on a 40-18 roll versus the number vs. non-conference opponents.
Colorado has one negative stat that really stands out: the Buffs are hitting only 69.8% at the line. At the rockin' Cintas Center, the pressure will really be on for a team that's 3-12-1 ATS in its last 16 on the road.
Xavier has had this game circled. Trevon Bluiett and the guys don't take their feet off the gas pedal today. They just put 89 on the board against a tough Cincy D in a 13-point home win last week. Today's rout is even easier in a blowout cover as the X-men roll 80-55.
How easy was Clemson?
Winner # 30 of 44
Clemson crushes Miami of Florida
in ACC Championship Game
1st 150 Dimer in College since Dec. 3 last Year
Here's what I told you.....
Think about this: Defending national champion Clemson has won 35 of its last 38 games and has battled Alabama twice for the crown, avenging its 2015 loss with last January's monumental upset.
Is there a better big game coach right now than Dabo Swinney?
Is there a better big game defense right now than Clemson's?
Miami has had a great turnaround season, but what have the Hurricanes done on the road? Beat a bad Duke team? Escaped with a last-second win at Florida State? Barely defeat defenseless North Carolina in Chapel Hill? And of course get upset by Pitt.
None of those teams have winning records.
Looking back, was the "big" win over Notre Dame that "big" considering how the Irish folded down the stretch and how poorly they played outside of South Bend?
I can give a pass to Clemson for the shocking loss at Syracuse because QB Kelly Bryant never should have been playing in that game and once he got re-injured it was all over.
But the Tigers dominated Auburn, Boston College, Georgia Tech and FSU at home. They crushed Louisville and South Carolina on the road. They took care of business against NC State in Raleigh.
Miami has a good defense; Clemson's is better.
Miami has a great pass rush; Clemson's is just as good.
Miami's offense is crippled. First it lost top running back Mark Walton in October. Then it lost TE Chris Herndon IV (40 catches, 11.9 ypc) and WR Ahmmon Richards (24 catches, 18.3 ypc) this past week. That leaves QB Malik Rosier minus 2 of his 3 three receivers.
You saw what Pitt did against Miami; the Panthers overplayed the run and dared Rosier to beat them through the air and he couldn't, struggling through a 15-for-34 day for 187 yards. And they limited him on the ground, too, as he gained just 31 yards on 12 scrambles.
Big game experience counts and that's why Clemson Covers.
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Brad Wilton's Rating System
The No. 1 mistake gamblers make?
They worry too much about win/loss percentages.
Gamblers often just don't understand that the win/loss percentage is 100% inconsequential because every play - at least in my case and for all the handicappers here at this site - is rated for money-management purposes.
If you ever come across a handicapper who refuses to rate his plays, my advice is to RUN because more than likely he's a con man.
Personally, I use a weighted scale - ranging from 10 dimes to 100 dimes - to rate my releases.
This rating system not only defines my success in terms of net profit at the end of the day, week, month or season, but it also gives you an idea of how strong each release is and how you should play it.
Two simple things to remember:
1) In terms of ratings, a 50 dime play is obviously twice as strong
as a 25 dime play; five times stronger than a 10 dime release.
2) Base the size of your wagers on the percentage of your total
bankroll for a given day.
To explain that second rule a bit further, let's say you've got $100 to play with on a Monday night and I've got a 40 dime play on the football game's side plus a 10 dime release on the game's total. That's 50 dimes of action on the table versus $100 to invest. That means you've got $2 per dime to play ($100 divided by 50 dimes). So, you would wager $80 on my side selection and $20 on the total.
The biggest advantage to this easy concept: You never get in over your head by betting more than you have in your pocket.
Who is Brad Wilton?
My family moved from Macon, Georgia to Las Vegas when I was seven.
You want to talk about future shock?
Growing up here as a kid, you went to school to learn about reading, writing and arithmetic, but on the streets you learned about gambling. Everyone was seemingly doing it. Ponies. Poker, Sports. Friends and family alike. And unlike other places in this country, there wasn't the f&?ing moral majority police telling you how bad it was.
No surprise, I guess you would say, that I was playing poker before puberty hit. Betting pro and college sports was just a natural progression. And I've been doing it LONG before I lost my hair. Trust me on that one!
If you ask me, being here in Vegas in the gambling mecca of the world, watching the city grow and going along for the gambling ride of your life, is key to making a living betting on spots. The clock didn't strike midnight for my 21st birthday before I was making a beeline to the old Stardust to place my first bet "legally." It was run down even then, but what a place. Such a shame that it's nothing but a memory and empty lot with half-started buildings now.
At the Stardust I got an education because that's where the veteran gamblers here in Vegas always hung out. Remember, sportsbooks back in those days weren't the glamour palaces they are now. These were guys that were so much older than me, but I learned my lessons well by listening to what they said about spotting bad numbers and the factors that influence prices on games.
Unlike those old-timers, I had the advantage of using the wonderful worldwide web. The Internet gave me access to every team in the country, allowing me to read about them and watch many of their games online. It's not unusual for me to spend a good six hours a day scouring team websites and reading about teams in local newspapers. But that research is often the difference between making money and losing it.
You can't make that commitment on a daily basis. I understand that. But that's what my job is and that's how I make money for you and me both.
Today's Complimentary Play
As one of the featured handicappers at this site, you can find my free play(s) - backed by in-depth analysis - in the Picks and Previews section, which is located in the drop-down menu in the upper left-hand corner.