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WEDNESDAY'S FREE PICK

I'll finally be returning with a Video Report on Thursday.

As for the comp plays, I'm on an 823-776-34 roll (21-12 L/33) the past 956 days despite Tuesday's loser on Philadelphia. 

For Wednesday I'm backing the Nationals (-110 Run Line) and Gio Gonzalez at home against Baltimore and Andrew Cashner, although there is a possibility this game gets delayed or rained out. 

Washington rallied from an early 4-1 deficit to take last night's series opener, 9-7, to snap a four-game skid. With the win the Nationals improved to 4-0 in the Beltway Series this season. One of those victories was authored by Gio Gonzalez in Baltimore on May 28 when he held the O's scoreless over 6.2 innings.

The good news for Gonzalez backers is that he's got a 2.87 ERA in his seven home starts this year. The bad is that his ERA is 6.61 in his last three outings overall.

Baltimore will activate Andrew Cashner from the disabled list to pitch tonight as he's been recently sidelined with lower back issues. The Orioles, who have lost five in a row on the road and 17 of their last 20 games overall, are 3-10 in his starts this season. 

The O's are 9-28 on the road this season. 

 


 

11 of 16 Winning Football Seasons

(NFL & College Combined)

 


 
229-181-13 NFL Roll
past five years combined
  
(FYI - 99% of my plays are rated between 5 and 15 dimes)
 

 
11-6
with highest rated 30 Dime NFL releases
past 7 years combined
 

 
115-84-8 Run
with NFL 15 Dimers past seven seasons


 

Biggest NBA Plays Since 2009

 

15 Dime Releases

 

128-98-3 Record

 


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Al DeMarco's Rating System

Over the 25 years I've been doing this, one of the biggest misconceptions I've encountered from customers is their belief that winningpercentageactually matters in this business. Bottom line is that a straight-up winning percentage means absolutely nothing when your handicapper - such as myself - releases rated selections. Read further and you'll understand why.

 

I use the "dime" rating system, going in 5 dime increments, generally keeping those plays between 5 and 50 dimes. Yes, that's a wide range, but truth be told, I usually max out around 30 dimes, rarely venturing into the rarefied air toward 50 dimes unless I've built a substantial bankroll. Doing anything different would be irresponsible bankroll management on my part and a total disservice toward you, my clients.

 

I like to keep it simple from a money-management system so my customers can always know exactly how they should beallocatingtheir bankroll in proportion to the rating I assign to a selection.

 

Obviously, a 50 Dime play is five times stronger than a 10 Dime release and twice as strong as a 25 Dime pick.

 

And each day when you see my compiling or mentioning my NET profit figures, keep in mind I've computing them based on the following formula:

 

Net Profit = Wins - Losses- Vig

 

Of course let's not forget my golden rule of gambling: Never bet more than you can afford to lose. No rating system - including mine - is effective unless you pay attention to that rule. By heeding my advice you can never fall into a financial abyss from which there is no escape.

 

A question gamblers always pose is "How much should I be playing?" Obviously, there is no set, firm answer, but my advice would be to follow my money management system and base the size of your wagers on a percentage of your total bankroll.

 

Let me explain further...

 

Take your total bankroll - the amount you can afford to lose in an absolute worst case scenario on a single day. Let's say it's $400 on a college football Saturday. And on that Saturday I release a 50 Dime play and two 20 Dime picks.

 

Let's do some quick math...I've got atotalof 90 dimes of action on the table (one 50 dime play and two 20 dimers).  You've got amaximum one-day bankrollof $400. Simply divide the $400 by the 90 dimes and you've got a per dime wager of $4.44.

 

Now it's time for some simple multiplication. If a dime is worth $4.44, my 50 Dime rated release equals approximately a $222 wager on your part. And my two 20 Dime rates picks equal approximately $88.88 wagers each. Add everything back up and you've got your initial $400 bankroll all over again.

 

This obviously all applies to a single wagering day. It's up to you to figure out how to allocate your bankroll over the course of a week or month.

 

Now, back to how inconsequential winning percentages can be: Let's say I have a 50 Dime play and three 10 Dime releases on an NFL Sunday. If I win the 50 Dime play and go 0-3 with the 10 Dime releases, my overall record is a dismal 1-3 but my net profit is a healthy 17 dimes. Conversely, let's say I lose the 50 Dime play and go 3-0 with the 10 Dime releases. My overall record is an impressive 3-1, but my net profit is a negative -25 dimes.

 

Which would you prefer, the losing record and winning day, or the winning record or losing day?

 

Believe what you want, but I'm telling you the truth: Winning percentage means nothing in this business as the above illustration will prove time and time again. Of course, crafty salesmen masquerading as handicappers can spin gold using the second scenario, but I feel it's my job to educate you about what is the TRUTH in this business - whether you become my customer or not.

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Mathew Parker, Sean Michaels

Matt Rivers,

Dom Chambers (NHL) and Gabe DuPont (NHL) 

do NOT release plays everyday


Upgrade From One Package To Another at Anytime

Instant Rebates Available Upon Upgrades!


Help Charity Play of the Week Discount Picks
Time Teams Score Stat Open Westgate 5 Dimes Pinnacle CRIS Carib
Wednesday, June 20th - NATIONAL LEAGUE
1:05 PM
951 STL
952 PHI
3
4
FINAL
FINAL
8½o19
-125
9
-112
9
-113
8½o29
-114
9o11
-113
8½o25
-115
2:20 PM
953 LOS
954 CUB
0
4
FINAL
FINAL
+120
-140
-118
7½o15
-117
7½o15
-116
7½o10
-117
7½o13
-115
7½o15
3:45 PM
955 MIA
956 SFO
5
6
FINAL
FINAL

-135
7½o20
-121
7½o15
-120
7½o10
-114
8u20
-119
7½o15
-145
10:30 PM
957 MIL
958 PIT


-115
-105





8:40 PM
959 NYM
960 COL
8
10
FINAL
FINAL
11½
-119
-106
11u20
11
-108
11u05
-108
11u11
-107
11
-110
Wednesday, June 20th - AMERICAN LEAGUE
1:10 PM
961 CWS
962 CLE
0
12
FINAL
FINAL

-290
8o20
-330
8o15
-320
8o11
-320
8
-333
8o15
-350
7:05 PM
963 SEA
964 NYY
5
7
FINAL
FINAL
9
-180
10o20
-210
10o20
-205
10o20
-208
10o15
-210
10u15
-225
8:10 PM
965 TAM
966 HOU
1
5
FINAL
FINAL
8o20
-260
7½u20
-255
7½u20
-245
7½u20
-241
7½u21
-260
7½u15
-285
8:10 PM
967 BOS
968 MIN
1
4
FINAL
FINAL
-150
+130
-166
8½o20
-165
8½o15
-165
8½o10
-175
8½o14
-160
8½o15
8:15 PM
969 TEX
970 KAN
3
2
FINAL
FINAL

-115
9o20
-114
9o25
-107
9o25
-108
9½u19
-110
9o20
-120
Wednesday, June 20th - INTERLEAGUE
12:35 PM
971 DET
972 CIN
3
5
FINAL
FINAL

-110
8½o20
-130
9u20
-130
9u15
-134
9u20
-140
9u15
-130
12:35 PM
973 ATL
974 TOR
4
5
FINAL
FINAL

-145
8½u15
-150

-160
8½u06
-166
8½o11
-165

-160
3:40 PM
975 OAK
976 SDG
12
4
FINAL
FINAL
8u20
-119
8u20
-132
8u20
-128
7½o10
-135
7½o11
-133
8u15
-130
7:05 PM
977 BAL
978 WAS
3
0
FINAL
FINAL
9u20
-220
9o15
-205
9u15
-210
9u10
-208
9o15
-205
9o15
-225
Thursday, June 21st - NATIONAL LEAGUE
3:10 PM
901 NYM
902 COL
    +115
-135
11
-140
11
-140
11u05
-138
11
-138
11
-145
7:05 PM
903 ARI
904 PIT
   
-110

8o15
-105



7:10 PM
905 CUB
906 CIN
    -165
9½u20
-155
-153
9½u20
-153
9½u15
-157
9½u20
-155
9½u20
8:10 PM
907 STL
908 MIL
    9
-130

+104
-114



10:15 PM
909 SDG
910 SFO
    7½u20
-150
7½u20
-145
7½u25
-141
7½u20
-141
7½u20
-145
7½u20
-145
Thursday, June 21st - AMERICAN LEAGUE
1:05 PM
911 SEA
912 NYY
   
-200
7½u20
-200
7½u20
-200
7½u15
-196
7½u20
-205
7½u20
-205
1:10 PM
913 BOS
914 MIN
    8½o20
-110
-125
-127
8½o25
-129
8½o20
-123
8½o20
-130
8½o20
8:10 PM
915 OAK
916 CWS
    -140
+120
-147
9½u25
-144
9½u20
-141
9½u15
-154
9½u20
-150
9½u20
10:05 PM
917 TOR
918 LAA
    7½o20
-150

-155
7½o25
-155
7½o20
-152
7½o20
-160
7½o20
-155
Thursday, June 21st - INTERLEAGUE
7:05 PM
919 BAL
920 WAS
   
-300
7o15
-300
7o20
-290
7o15
-287
7o19
-300
7o20
-300
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